由于欧元区经济已经放缓,并且通胀压力不太大,预计欧洲央行将维持利率不变，并且宣布购买欧元债券,关键看欧洲央行量化宽松措施规模。关键看欧洲央行的声明

If the ECB lifts both its GDP forecasts and shifts its risk assessment, EUR/USD will soar above 1.13 and see 1.1385 quickly. However if they cut their inflation forecast and leave the risk assessment unchanged, EUR/USD will sink below 1.12. 摘自fxstreet的分析 链接发不了。 很不错的分析