原文由 [B]放羊娃[/B] 发表: 长期增长 其实你是个悟性、天分都极高的人,如果真的给你一些太专一的意见 或者给你一定的模式,是会束缚你的思维.我发帖子的意思就是让你 放的再开一些. "天外是天,也不是天" 不多说了,自己悟吧,就像我 "放羊" 一样 每个人的知识都不是大风刮来的，一切还需要自己去学习。国内好象还没有这样的技术分析课程。启发是需要的，别人启发了我，我也回报给大家，不过，这是最后一次奉献了。这里好象江恩的理论没有太多的同人。仁兄所谓的“悟”我看象是不愿交流的托词，怕是仁兄藏私了吧。其实“悟”。如果没有基础的话，基本等于盲修瞎练，如果仁兄真的没有些江派的理论做基础的话，请看伟大的江恩原文（部分）。 ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Like causes produce like effects. Wireless telegraphy, the phonograph and the radio are based on this law. The limit of future predictions based on exact mathematical law is only restricted by lack of knowledge of correct data on past history to work from. It is just as easy to figure 100 years or 1000 years in the future as one or two years ahead, if you have the correct starting point and know the cycle which is going to be repeated. 相似的原因产生相似的结果。无线电报，留声机和无线电广播都基于这个法则。建立在精确的数学法则基础上的预测，对未来预测的深度广度，将受到认知缺陷以及缺乏所需的正确历史数据的限制。假如你有一个正确的起点并且知道哪一个循环将会被重复，那么你预测未来100年或者1000年就如同预测一两年以后的事情一样容易。 "A few years ago even scientific men, not alone the public, would have laughed at such a thing and refused to believe it. But mathematical science, which is the only real science that the entire civilized world has agreed upon, furnishes unmistakable proof of history repeating itself and shows that the cycle theory, or harmonic analysis, is the only thing that we can rely upon to ascertain the future. 在几年前，不仅仅是公众，甚至是一些科学家，都还在讥笑这样的事情（历史会重演）并拒绝相信它。但是数学，这个作为整个文明世界都一致公认的唯一真正的科学，对历史自身重演（这种现象）或者说谐波分析给出了明白无误的证明并展示了循环的真理，（数学）是我们探知未来唯一可以凭借的东西。 "'How do I forecast future cycles?' you may ask. In order to forecast future cycles, the most important thing is to begin right, for if we have the right beginning, we will get the right ending. If we know the cause of the effect, then there can be no doubt about predicting the future event or effect. 你可能会问：“我如何预测未来循环？” 为了预测未来的循环，最重要的事情是有个正确的开始，也就是说假如我们有一个正确的开始，我们就会得到正确的结局。假如我们知道导致结果的原因，那么之后我们就不会对预知未来事件或结果（这件事）产生怀疑。 "I have always looked for causes and when once I determine a cause I can always be sure of the effect or future event which I predict. IT IS NOT MY AIM TO EXPLAIN THE CAUSE OF CYCLES. The general public is not yet ready for it and probably would not understand or believe it if I explained it. 我总是在寻找（导致循环的）原因，一旦我确定了一个原因就总能确定使用这个原因所预测的事件或结果。我的目标不是解释循环的成因。假如我解释成因，公众也没有心理准备去接受它，可能无法理解或者相信它。（我对这段的注释：江恩的意思是说，他没有这个义务为公众去解释这个能够预测未来的原理，这个原理与大多数人的世界观和认知习惯相违背，不是每个人都愿意承认和相信的。） "In every law of nature there is a major and a minor&#59; a positive, a negative, and a neutral. Therefore, in cycles there must be a lesser, a greater and intermediate cycle, or cycles within cycles. Like Ezekiel says: 'Wheel within a wheel.' 在每一个自然法则中都会有主要和次要之分，它们包括积极的一面，消极的一面以及平衡但不确定的一面。因此，在众多循环中一定要有次要的，主要的和中间过渡状态的循环，或者说循环之中有循环。就象《圣经》的《以西结书》里说的“轮子之中有轮子” （这段话国内翻译大多有问题，首先是词义理解不准确，也难怪他们，不做股票是翻译不好的） "Time is the great factor that proves all things. The measurement of time first originated and is based on the earth's motion upon its axis. One of the smallest cycles, or time factors, which repeats regularly in things that are very active and have a high vibration, is the four-minute cycle. The reason for this is that the earth moves one degree every four minutes. The next cycle is 24 hours, the complete time required for the earth to make one revolution upon its axis. That is how man measured his cycle of a day. The next important cycle is one year, the time required for the earth to move around the sun. This brings about the four seasons of the year. These are the minor cycles. 时间是考查检验一切事情的最伟大的因素。时间的测量最早发源于地球围绕它的轴自转并以其为测量基准。最小的循环或者说时间因素之一，就是4分钟循环，它是现行的在事物中均匀反复出现并具有高频率的循环。这个循环的成因是地球每4分钟要移动一度。另一个循环是24小时，是地球围绕其轴完成一次自转所需要的时间。这就是人类如何计量一日循环的方法。另一个重要的循环是一年，是地球围绕太阳运动一周的时间长度。这种循环带来了一年中的四个季节，它们是次要循环。 "The major cycles run in 100 and 5000 years with variations based on minor cycles. In order to be sure of world events and important changes, it is necessary to go back at least 1000 years and prove up the cycles. … 主要循环运行在100和5000年期间伴随着基于次要循环基础上的变异。为了确定世界性的事件和重大转变，有必要追溯到至少1000年前去勘探那些循环。