大多数成员认为当前利率非常适宜 经济增长将在未几个季度里继续放缓 FOMC成员大多预料下一步将收紧货币政策 美核心通张料於明年而非今年回落 08年余下的时间里经济增长仍疲软，预期09年将适度反弹 收紧货币政策的时机取决於经济发展情势 美经济增速料在明年次季前低於潜在增速 下次利率政变动可能是加息，但时间不确定。出口增长对经济增长刺激作用很大，但预期将有所减弱。 Fed worried about inflation and slowdownLatestFed minutes show concerns about price pressures and a weaker economicoutlook. Still, the Fed hinted its likely next move may be to raiserates. NEWYORK -- The Federal Reserve expressed concern about bothgreater inflation risks and a slowdown in the economy that could extendinto next year, according to minutes of its most recent meeting.Thecentral bank said it is most likely that its next move will be to raiseinterest rates. The Fed indicated that the timing of such a move isuncertain, however, given the conflicting pressures on the Fed to bothspur economic growth and keep prices in check. But since thatmeeting, expectations of a rate hike in the next few months have dippedsignificantly as oil prices have fallen and the dollar has rallied. Inaddition, the Fed also indicated in the minutes that its staff loweredits forecast for economic growth in the second half of this year andinto 2009. The Fed is now looking for a pickup in the economy in thesecond half of next year. The central bank's policy-makers leftthe Fed's key overnight lending rate at 2% following its August 5meeting, the second straight meeting at which the rate was leftunchanged. Prior to that, the Fed cut rates seven times betweenSeptember 2007 and April in an effort to address weakness in theeconomy and problems in financial markets. One member of theFederal Open Market Committee, Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher,dissented at both those meetings, arguing that rates needed to beraised in an effort to combat inflation pressures. But since then, the price of oil and other commodities have tumbled. FedChairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged this decline in a speech last Fridayand said he expects price pressures to ease later this year as theeconomy slows. However, he also warned that storms in financialmarkets have not yet ended. That was taken as the clearest signal yetthat the Fed will keep its federal funds rate on hold at its September16 meeting and probably for the remainder of the year. Thefederal funds rate is used as a benchmark to determine how muchinterest consumers and businesses pay for various types of loans. [ 本帖最后由 欧州老大 于 2008-8-27 02:25 编辑 ]

能否解释一下阿， 俺看不懂到底有什么意思啊。

美联储官员表示核心通胀将可能于08年末增高，并将于09年下降，但就通胀是上涨还是下降产生异议，一些官员认为需要尽快加息。

貌似对美元有利？

算是略微利好，经济前景不太差+升息可能

谢谢楼主分享:)

看走势，利好非美

讲的都是废话 。 老生常谈。

我的理解是: 在今年加息的可能性很有限,但最迟联储会在明年初加息。

非美看来要反弹了